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If you're like
most Americans, you probably haven't bought or sold any of the
funds in your 401k plan since the day you set it up. If this
is the case, you're probably cheating yourself out of better
returns in your portfolio.
What many workers
don't realize is that they need to regularly rebalance their
401k portfolio to stay within their risk level and to protect
against potentially huge losses.
There's an old saying that goes
"do anything long enough and it becomes a habit."
Billie Moore wants to pick up the
habit of rebalancing her 401k account. For the past seven years,
her money lingered untouched in her account. Then, when a
departing co-worker revealed her 401k balance, Moore, 52, took a
look at her own account and found it suffered from two problems:
an uninformed initial allocation and lack of regular rebalancing.
Part of her problem stemmed from a
lack of education. "I never knew I could have gone in and (re)allocated,"
she said. If she had done this, she would have noticed her initial
error, quickly corrected it and got her portfolio on the right
track years ago.
Moore's case, unfortunately, is
common among American workers. They make an initial allocation,
sometimes mistakenly, and then ignore the account, save checking
to see that the balance is rising.
"Eighty percent of people
don't rebalance," said David Wray, president of the Profit
Sharing/401k Council of America. "We feel strongly that one
of the education propositions we need to get to people is that
they need to rebalance."
"Rebalancing quarterly can add
as much as another half percent of return a year," said Joel
Ticknor, certified financial planner and president of Ticknor
Financial Inc. in Reston, Va.
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"Rebalancing
is psychologically difficult to do. You are
selling what has been doing best."
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Scott Leonard, certified financial planner,
Leonard Capital Management. |
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Before we go any further, let's
make sure you don't confuse rebalancing with reallocation. They
are two totally different concepts. Many financial planners
disapprove of frequent 401k asset reallocation, whereas they
warmly encourage regular rebalancing. Reallocation is when you
change the percentage of assets invested in different asset
classes. Rebalancing is when you sell or buy funds in your plan so
that your asset allocation percentages remain consistent.
The Initial
Allocation
Hopefully, before you began
contributing to a 401k, you took some time to think about what
your retirement would be like: Where you'll live, what your
monthly bills will be, what your sources of income will be ...
questions of this nature.
Based on the answers, you should
have carefully created an asset allocation strategy that will help
you reach your retirement goals. Part of that planning process
should have included researching the investment options offered in
your 401k plan and selecting a mix that would give you the
highest probability of reaching your retirement goal at the lowest
risk. The best way to reduce your risk is by diversifying your
investments across several asset classes: bonds, equities and/or
cash.
To read about developing an initial
asset allocation strategy, visit The Value of Asset Allocation.
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Info |
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you rebalance, you are automatically
selling high and buying low. You are
selling the funds that have done the best,
while buying funds that aren't doing so
well. "What rebalancing forces you to
do is to adhere to your investment
strategy by selling high and buying
low," said Joel Ticknor, certified
financial planner and president of Ticknor
Financial Inc. in Reston, Va. |
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Keep In Balance
Rebalancing is simply readjusting
your portfolio back to the original asset allocation that took
into account your risk tolerance and your time horizon.
"I tell clients that the
academic research shows that rebalancing is the closest thing to a
free lunch on Wall Street," Ticknor said. He and other
planners explain that rebalancing tends to reduce the volatile
swing in portfolio returns. He cites academic studies that show
rebalancing can add an additional half percent return. Ticknor
based his opinion on the study "Efficient Portfolio
Rebalancing," authored by Truman Clark, and published by
Dimensional Fund Advisors Inc. of Santa Monica, Calif.
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"I tell
clients that the academic research shows that
rebalancing is the closest thing to a free lunch
on Wall Street."
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Joel Ticknor, certified financial planner and
president of Ticknor Financial Inc. |
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Suppose you invested money in 1976
and initially allocated 60 percent of your portfolio to equity
funds and 40 percent to bond funds. If you never rebalanced the
account, today nearly 85 percent of your assets would be in equity
funds and about 15 percent in bond funds because stocks posted
higher returns over that time period. While your account would
have posted strong returns, those profits would come at a higher
risk level than you originally selected. And, more importantly,
you would be subjecting your retirement money to potentially huge
losses should equity funds take a dive.



Rebalancing may entail selling a
fund that is doing better than you expected; a fund that is
skewing your risk level.
Yes, it's counterintuitive,
planners say. "Rebalancing is psychologically difficult to
do. You are selling what has been doing best," said Scott
Leonard, a certified financial planner and owner of Leonard
Capital Management of El Segundo, Calif.
If you don't rebalance and one
asset class in your portfolio becomes too large, you are by
default changing your risk profile.
"What rebalancing forces you
to do is to adhere to your investment strategy," Ticknor
said.
Rebalancing
How-to
Financial planners recommend you
rebalance at least once a year and no more than four times a year.
One easy way to do it is to pick the same day each year or each
quarter, and make that your day to rebalance. By doing this, you
will distance yourself from the emotions of the market, Wray said.
Moore said she might rebalance
quarterly. "These allocations I have … have given me a
starting point so I can look at percentage of return," she
said. "I'll get my first statement in October. That won't be
enough time. I'll look closely in January."
Further, many planners recommend
you don't rebalance unless your portfolio is off balance by 5
percent or more.
You don't need to be a financial
whiz to learn how to rebalance; you can do it with a pencil and
paper.
If your account statement includes
a pie chart showing how your money is invested, it's easy to
figure out if you need to rebalance and how to do it. Suppose you
initially allocated 40 percent of your portfolio to bond funds and
60 percent to equity funds. Further suppose that when you get your
next statement, it shows that 70 percent of your assets are in
equity funds and 30 percent are in bond funds. To stay within your
acceptable risk level, you should sell enough equity funds to
bring that back to 60 percent of your assets and buy enough bond
funds to bring them up to 40 percent of assets.
If you don't have a pie chart, you
need to look at the balance of all your investments in the 401k
plan. Calculate what percentage each represents of the total
value, and then sell shares from the categories that are too large
and buy shares in the categories that are too small until you are
back in line with your original asset allocation percentages.
Should I
Reallocate?
Reallocation is a different sort of
readjustment; one in which you change the asset allocation
percentages you originally selected in your plan.
There are two general reallocation
strategies: life-style reallocation and tactical or market-timing
reallocation.
Older workers and retirees who are
close to reaching their retirement goals and want to reduce their
portfolio's risk often do life-style reallocation. Commonly, they
reduce their holdings in equities and boost their holdings of
bonds and cash as they get older so their portfolio won't have as
much volatility.
Hopefully "when you reach your
50s, you should have accumulated a substantial amount of
money," said Wray. "People need to reassess at that
point."
This type of reallocation should be
accompanied by a careful reassessment of your goals, risk
tolerance and your progress. In other words, you need to go
through the entire planning process beginning at square one.
"Folks need to rewrite their investment policy statement,
saying 'here's what we are doing long term,'" said Scott
Leonard.
Billie Moore reallocated her 401k
plan in August because she never selected the correct funds in the
first place, being 100 percent invested in money-market mutual
funds.
The friend that told her about
rebalancing also helped her figure out how to reallocate her
funds. Moore took her 401k money and split it so that 10 percent
of her assets are in money-market funds, 30 percent in bond funds
and 60 percent in equity funds.
The second type, tactical
reallocation, is the one that draws most financial planners' ire
because it's based on market timing. This is when you decide to
divert part of your portfolio to a particular asset class because
it's hot.
In 1999, there was no hotter stock
market sector than technology. As measured by the Standard &
Poor's 500 Technology Index, the sector posted a 35.62 percent
return.
Suppose you created a retirement
portfolio that promised a steady 9 percent annual return. It would
be tough to stick with that plan, especially if all your friends
were bragging about their tech stock winners. Adding to the peer
pressure is today's financial media, constantly touting winning
funds, winning stocks and winning sectors.
Most of us want to be invested in the hot performer. We'd look at
our portfolio and see which sectors have been doing poorly: bonds,
for instance. So, we'd sell our bond funds and buy the tech stock
fund. We would reallocate.
That would be the wrong thing to
do, planners say. "Don't do tactical reallocation," said
Greg Curry, certified financial advisor and president of Pillar
Financial Advisors in Louisville, Ky. "You really have to be
a psychic" to win.
One of the basic goals of asset
allocation is to develop a diversified portfolio that will
continue to make money no matter the economic conditions. Hence,
you would have invested in dissimilar assets to create your
portfolio. When you made your initial asset allocation, you
assumed that when your investment in stock funds did well, your
bond funds would likely do poorly. And, vice versa.
"The minute you start
deviating (from your original allocation) and start trying to make
decisions on what you think the market will do in the short term,
the probability of reaching the goal diminishes. You put yourself
in the position of taking on a lot more risk," Wray said.
Ticknor offers some insight as to
why people don't stick with their plan. "Most of the problem
with individual investors is they act emotionally to events over
which they have no control," he said.
He said that recent studies show
that individuals who actively managed their accounts only earned
half of the rate of return that the market generated. "It's
that buying and selling that keeps them out of the market and
degrades their return," Ticknor said.
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